Talk:Coronavirus

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People to follow:

Twitter:

Marc Lipsitch

Infectious disease epidemiologist and microbiologist, aspirational barista. mlipsitc@hsph.harvard.edu Director

Florian Krammer

Viruses, viruses, viruses and vaccines / Professor at the Department of Microbiology Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai

Nicholas A. Christakis

Sterling Professor of Social & Natural Science at Yale. Physician. Author of Blueprint: The Evolutionary Origins of a Good Society.

Christakis' thread-of-threads on C19

In this thread, I collect the threads about #COVID19 #SARSCoV2 that I have prepared on various aspects of the coronavirus pandemic. Please note that the situation is fluid and knowledge may change and be updated. Feel free to suggest topics in response to this tweet. 1/

Trevor Bedford

Scientist @fredhutch, studying viruses, evolution and immunity.


WHO Coronavirus disease (COVID-2019) situation reports


How long can the novel coronavirus survive on surfaces and in the air? Economist

A new study shows that SARS-CoV-2 can linger in the air for hours and on some materials for days

Aerosol and Surface Stability of SARS-CoV-2 as Compared with SARS-CoV-1 NEJM


Younger adults are large percentage of coronavirus hospitalizations in United States, according to new CDC data WaPo


We’re not going back to normal by Gideon Lichfield, MIT Tech Rev, Mar 17, 2020

Social distancing is here to stay for much more than a few weeks. It will upend our way of life, in some ways forever.


A Silent Hero of the Coronavirus Crisis project-syndicate Role of technology in tackling crisis


In the Battle Against Coronavirus, Humanity Lacks Leadership Time


Imperial paper

paper

A chilling scientific paper helped upend U.S. and U.K. coronavirus strategies WaPo

Twitter thread by Jeremy C. Young

We can now read the Imperial College report on COVID-19 that led to the extreme measures we've seen in the US this week. Read it; it's terrifying. I'll offer a summary in this thread; please correct me if I've gotten it wrong.

The Imperial College team plugged infection and death rates from China/Korea/Italy into epidemic modeling software and ran a simulation: what happens if the US does absolutely nothing -- if we treat COVID-19 like the flu, go about our business, and let the virus take its course?

Here's what would happen: 80% of Americans would get the disease. 0.9% of them would die. Between 4 and 8 percent of all Americans over the age of 70 would die. 2.2 million Americans would die from the virus itself.

It gets worse. People with severe COVID-19 need to be put on ventilators. 50% of those on ventilators still die, but the other 50% live. But in an unmitigated epidemic, the need for ventilators would be 30 times the number available in the US. Nearly 100% of these patients die.

So the actual death toll from the virus would be closer to 4 million Americans -- in a span of 3 months. 8-15% of all Americans over 70 would die.


Leslie Davenport on staying sane amid coronavirus craziness Post Carbon Institute


China's coronavirus lockdown strategy: brutal but effective Guardian


WaPo C19 simulator